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The Senate races again. More interesting than the presidential race

Friday, October 5th, 2012
Tennessee:
Democratic U.S. Senate nominee Mark Clayton, in a letter to U.S. Attorney General Eric Holder, calls for an investigation into whether state Democratic Chairman Chip Forrester “and other Tennessee Democratic Party bosses” violated the federal Voting Rights Act by disavowing his win in the Aug. 2 primary.
The letter suggests that, since many minority voters supported Clayton in the primary, the impact of their votes was compromised by the disavowal of Clayton as the party nominee, which Forrester has said was based on Clayton’s membership in an “anti-gay hate group” and other “extremist views.”
The Democratic nominee was joined in signing the letter by Bishop Felton M. Smith, senior pastor of New Covenant Fellowship Church of God in Christ in Nashville, according to an email from Clayton. According to Internet media reports, Smith previously joined a group of black ministers opposing re-election of President Obama because of his support for same-sex marriage.
Mark Clayton is full of crap here.  The political party organizations can behave as they will to their candidates.  But he does have one salient point.  The next Democratic candidate who wins statewide, or even does reasonably well statewide, will — functionally speaking — be positioned right where Mark Clayton is on social issues.  The difference might be rhetorical — though that is difference enough in voting.  But even there, he just slides right next to someone like Republican Tom Coburn of Oklahoma — “Lesbian epidemic in Southeast Oklahoma bathrooms”.
The thing I watch in a Senate race like this one… the election map.  Will it deviate from Partisan norm?  The answer, if past indications are predicative, is “no”.  Bob Kelleher’s performance — the perenail candidate who won Montana’s Republican Senate nomination and was “more socialist than the alleged Socialist in the Senate” — had a map that was a pale shadow of the top ticket result — against “corporate Democrat” Max Baucus.  The same was true of the Bircher Democrat Bob Conley who won the South Carolina Democratic nomination against the next Tea Party target Lindsey Graham.
Missouri.  The New Republic offers a fluffer-ish piece on Claire McCaskill’s strategy.  It’s not without insight, though.  It asks the provocative question of whether she’s blowing it, and answers “no”.  Because even as her [hand-picked] opponenty made an extreme and biologically nonsensical comment about Abortion — she cannot be identified as an Abortion crusader.  So there she is, campaigning as “#50” in the National Journal rankings.  A one-dimensional tracking that will throw away any Kucinich — Paul alliance.  The New Republic article only hints around the edges of the trouble with this strategy — it would be one thing if she can pioint to some big compromise she brokered, but mostly we just end up with someone not sticking her neck out, staking some oppositional positions, and cruising out the status quo.  But hey!  She’s not extreme!
North Dakota. So, this New York Times article on Democratic candidate Heidi Heitkamp’s “nice act” is getting this quote out there.

“Everyone’s pretty likable,” Mr. Berg said with a shrug. “The issue is not about a personality contest. This whole thing kind of boils down to, do you want someone who’s going to fight against President Obama.”
Yeah, speak for your opponent.  There is a gender dynamic at play here, and I can’t help but be reminded of Todd Akin’s quote on McCaskill — that McCaskill was more “lady-like” in her 2006 campaign.  Whether true or not, and I can easily imagine that was part of McCaskill’s strategy in 2006 where in 2012 she is by nature running a more negative campaign — Heidi Heitkamp is in the same position and if she wins, her re-election campaign in 2018 would necessarily be more negative.
Montana.  So here’s Jon Tester.  He is turning out the base with his association with 90s era Seattle rock bands — he was Jeff Ament of Pearl Jam fame’s music teacher in the small town of Big Sandy. And so they play for him.  And we get this while we’re at it.
Maybe Jon Tester’s supporters on the University of Montana campus inMissoula Sunday afternoon grew confused, thinking rock group Drowning Pool would play a concert for the senator later that night.
That group’s signature track — Let the bodies hit the floor — most accurately describes what happened to a Republican tracker just prior to a Tester midday rally Sunday.
Just a few weeks after Republican Senate challenger Denny Rehberg delivered a one-fingered salute to a Democratic tracker in Washington, D.C., a GOP tracker claimed Tester supporters shoved him to the ground during a rally with Pearl Jam’s Jeff Ament.
To be sure, the tracker, a campaign lackey given a cheap video camera, was asserting a very aggressive front, appearing to bump into the small armada of Tester campaign workers who circled Tester and Ament as they shuffled to the rally stage.
Drowing Pool?  Wait.  Is Puddles of Mud going to put in an appearance?
Having fired up the base, Jon Tester can now make his pitch to the general electorate and swing vote in the state, and … emphasize beef.
Massachusetts.  The big debate performances for the one Republican trying to run as “#5o” presents two moments of note.  One was a killer for Scott Brown, he flummoxed on the question of fravorite Supreme Court Justice and basically ended up saying that he likes them all.  And Elizabeth Warren laughed.  The second item, after this Scott Brown almost certainly rehearsed and planned — “I’m not a student in your classroom.”  It’s to highlight Warren as an elitist.  But it didn’t quite have the punch Scott Brown needs, I’m afraid — he failed to get in the fact that he drives a pick-up truck.
Nebraska.  Steve Martin endorses Bob Kerrey.  Cool.  Since this election is so far gone for Kerrey, he might as well have fun with it.
Generally speaking, the Senate picture looks good for the Democrats.  States like Wisconsin the Republicans can’t gain traction, states like Arizona the Democrats are picking up steam.  But, I suppose, the supposed fall-out of Obama’s poor debate will weigh things down — until everyone forgets about it which seems to have happened today with Obama now touting a good jobs report with the world moving forward and the Democrats ceasing to panic as much — Mondale won the first debate against Reagan, after all.  Interesting race dynamics down-ticket… depends a lot on how things go up-ticket… conventional wisdom is Romney back in it and conventional wisdom will probably fade.

sure. If Romney wins, the debate will be heralded as the turning point. And if he loses… well, it won’t.

Thursday, October 4th, 2012

I saw none of it, heard none of it.  I am surprisingly tuned out to this election campaign because — what?  You think something new is coming out of the busshels anywhere?

Apparently Romney cleaned Obama’s clock last night.  The key word, of course, in all of these is “Performance” — we are back to the classic line “It’s all theater review we’re getting” in campaign coverage.

I suppose it might matter?  Because everyone wants to vote for someone other than Romney or Obama, and because Romney has had terrible negatives and this will tap up his positives?  Or it might not matter?  Because, after all, these are just freaking platforms for two candidates to flesh out their final month’s stump speech?   Or it might not matter, because the two candidates had their surrogates furiously spun beforehand that they were about to get their clock cleaned so as to lower expectations, and thus Obama won the debate in a back-handed sneaky way?

Whatever the case, the entertainment value is to see the liberal blogs, dailykos and huffington post, go “Substance” and, for instance, blow out a big picture of Big Bird to show why Romney’s “I’ll cut PBS funding” is an absurd comment on deficit reduction.  And the conservative bloggers jump up and down … time to google “Tele-prompter” or something.

And you know you want it… Jill Stein and Rocky Anderson!!!!  Interjecting in a clever little device.  Will Democracy Now do the same for the vice presidential candidates?

third party presidential candidate updates

Monday, October 1st, 2012

Roseanne Barr of the Peace and Freedom Party after the Green Party rejected her.
Well, I see why the party was so eager to get the celebrity their nomination.
Barr’s Peace and Freedom Party needs voters as well as cash; the party won’t be on the ballot in California in 2014 unless 45,000 more voters register with the platform, according to the San Jose Mercury News.
 Further…
The 59-year old Barr, who currently runs a nut farm in Hawaii, said she would grow hemp if it weren’t the only commodity which is legal to own, import, export, buy, and sell, but not to grow. And if she did, she’d “employ hundreds of thousands of Americans.”

But what about this mind control? “Without mind control (from the two parties),” she said, according to the Merc, “people would demand a representational government that works for the pursuit of life, liberty, and the pursuit of happiness.
That’s an interesting approach to explaining the famed Two Party Duopoly, or “Tweedle Dee and Tweedle Dum”.

Attention Portland.  Roseanne Barr will be at Powells, Wednesday between 2 and 4.  Apparently not really campaigning, though.   Won’t find this book in the too-be-remaindered book table of presidential and veep candidate campaign books.

The Libertarian Candidate, Gary Johnson, has a huge poll number in Ohio.

When only President Obama and Republican nominee Mitt Romney are included, Obama leads by 45.2% to 44.3%, with 10.4% either undecided or supporting a third party candidate.
When Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson is also included, Obama leads Romney by 44.5% to 37.8%, with Johnson winning 10.6% of the vote. 7.1% are either undecided or supporting another third party candidate.
This is the first poll in Ohio to show Johnson reaching double-digit support, and his presence appears to affect Romney far more than it affects Obama. Ohio is considered to be a must-win for Romney, as no Republican has ever won the Presidency while losing in Ohio.
Green Party nominee Jill Stein and Constitution Party nominee Virgil Goode also have ballotaccess in Ohio, but their names were not included in the poll.

The Ron Paul-philes are amusing in jumping in to chime “Ha!  Screw with Ron Paul… and … er ???”
There is a “Beware” quality here.  Mention names and a sort of soft Romney supporter will fade to the third name, before casting the ballot for Romney.  If you had substituted Jill Stein or Virgil Goode, they would attract a decent number of that number.

Rocky Anderson and Jill Stein “debate” on Democracy Now.
That same evening, Jill Stein and Rocky Anderson will appear at a Democracy Now! live event at the Central Presbyterian Church, 1660 Sherman Street, Denver. Amy Goodman will host. The audience will see the Commission on Presidential Debates on a screen. After the first question has been asked of President Obama and Mitt Romney, and their answers have been received, the church audience video of that debate will pause, and Stein and Anderson will also answer whatever question had just been asked in the CPD Debate. Then, the church audience will then see the next CPD question (which, of course, is no longer live, because of the delay) and the process will continue. Here is a link to Democracy! Now’s web page about the event, which does not mention any other presidential candidates. The Green Party publicityabout this event says that Gary Johnson is also participating, but this appears to be incorrect.

Question asked in comments:  What would it take to get Johnson and Goode to participate?  I don’t know… this is a Left-wing forum, Democracy Now, so you can find a right-wing forum.  Unfortunately your Tea Party is kinda committed to the Republican nominee by means of its control mechanisms with Koch, etc.

This is probably more interesting than figuring out what the Socialist Workers Party candidate is up to in 2012.  A Rally in 1948 — predicts that Dewey win everyone thought was coming, etc.

OOOh.. A tough one.
Opposition to the death penalty is pretty much my most fundamental political belief. I’ve therefore always followed the principle of voting for an anti-death penalty candidate, unless there wasn’t one on the ballot paper. I do this even if it’s a fringe candidate. […]
 However, the only left-of-centre, anti-death penalty presidential candidate in “my” state this time round is Peta Lindsay, who represents an out-and-out revolutionary Marxist-Leninist party, and who regards Cuba as the template for the rest of the world to follow. Now, I’m all for acknowledging the good side of the Cuban system as well as the bad, but such views are a bit strong for even my taste.

Write in time.  I hear Mickey Mouse opposes the Death Penalty.

I was wondering how the Reform Party Convention went.  It went to… Andre Barnett, a business owner, model and military veteran from New York State… who has a lot of shirtless buff images on the Internet.  The big news appears to be that the Kansas state party substituted Chuck Baldwin for him, choosing to go to the Theocratic Right.  Whether Baldwin cares to run or not.

In other news…  Here’s the Facebook like tallies for the candidates…

  1. Barack Obama (D) – 538,733
  2. Gary Johnson (L) – 62,224
  3. Mitt Romney (R) – 37,820
  4. Jill Stein (G) – 22,834
  5. Rocky Anderson (J) – 6,279
  6. Roseanne Barr (PF) – 3,915
  7. Virgil Goode (C) – 2,092
  8. Stewart Alexander (S) – 1,677
  9. Tom Hoefling (A) – 1,057
  10. Merlin Miller (A3P) – 224
  11. Andre Barnett (RP) – 197
  12. Ed Noonan (AI) – 93
  13. James Harris (SW) – 67
  14. Jerry White (SE) – 57
The big jumper, according to the Examiner, is Merlin Miller.  A quote from this candidate:  “Jews did 911, Jews control U.S.A.”  … Well, his facebook jump may be attributed to a recent interview on David Duke’s internet show.

and to The No Chance Senate races

Sunday, September 30th, 2012

Minnesota:  The surest sign of a politician who is on their way to losing is that they start attacking the polls.

 In a news release titled, “Daddy’s poll,” Osskopp, the Republican U.S. Senate nominee’s campaign manager, attacked the Strib’s recent Minnesota Poll that showed Bills 29 points behind.
“If ever there was evidence of bias, this is it. A 13 point Democrat advantage in party ID isn’t credible to even the most partisan analyst,” said Osskopp.
I know, it’s almost like that other poll that showed a 10-point Democrat advantage! Oh wait — that was Bills’ own poll?
And what about that poll showing a +14 Dem advantage … that Bills touts on his own website!

Kurt Bills, I note, is featured in the latest Reason Magazine article about “Libertarians Running”.  He’s in the “Long shot” category.  Or better to say “No Shot”.

We’re getting into a curious realm in the supposed “War on Women” with Kurt Bills, in tandem with the more viable Todd Akin in Missouri.  “Don’t forget, Amy’s Dad was a columnist for the Star Tribune for 3 decades. It’s no coincidence that they are pulling for Daddy’s little girl.”  Yeah.

Tennessee… and on in the region.
While Tennessee Democrats have disowned and vowed not to support nominee Mark Clayton of Whites Creek in the U.S. Senate race — due to his views on gays and his association with an anti-gay group — their Alabama counterparts took an even more drastic step with one of their candidates.
The Democratic Party there disqualified its nominee for chief justice of the state Supreme Court because of comments he made online about the Republican nominee, accusing him of having “dementia” and being “a devil worshipper.” Party officials felt the comments were improper for a judicial nominee. It just so happened the Democratic nominee in question, Harry Lyon, also had a long history of entering and losing Alabama political races.
Shouldn’t the Alabama Democrats just be happy that the candidate has neutralized that “God” issue down there in the bible belt?

Meanwhile, here’s an interesting choice for the Democratic Party of Tennessee.
Eleven people have signed up to have their names counted as write-in candidates for the U.S. Senate, but the state Democratic Party has not endorsed one as an alternative to their disavowed nominee, Mark Clayton. […]
The 11 candidates who met the deadline for doing so include two losers in the Aug. 2 Democratic U.S. Senate primary, Nashvillians Larry Crim and Gary Gene Davis, and one loser in the Republican primary, Fred R. Anderson of Maryville.
Con Flip!  I would say vote for the Green Party candidate, except this message irks me in its unreality.

Please consider our campaign for US Senate. www.martinpleasant.com Corker barely won last time!
Yeah, and he’ll win in a landslide this time.

Rhode Island Barry Hinkley comes out for crude Big Government, ala looming defense cuts coming with where the deficit cutting deal sunset came in — the “if we can’t pull this off, there will be cuts in defense spending”.

Naturally you flag this quote.  Remember when Republican Senate candidate Barry Hinckley courted out-of-state political donors by saying, “Although many of you who live out of state cannot vote for me – remember, I can vote for you.”? Well, it seems as if one out-of-state group has taken him up on the offer.
 Hinckley was endorsed by the Freedomworks PAC on Tuesday, which on its website describes itself as “leading the fight for lower taxes, less government, and more freedom.”
Marlyand.  Should the Independent be in the debate?
Just a day after a poll showed him with more than 20 percent of the vote, an independent U.S. Senate candidate in Maryland wants to be included in upcoming debates between the major party nominees.
In asking to be part of the debates, independent Rob Sobhani is citing a Gonzales research poll that shows he is almost even with Republican nominee Dan Bongino. Sobhani, who announced his candidacy earlier this month and is running television ads, received 21 percent of the vote in the poll, to Bongino’s 22 percent.
Incumbent Democrat Ben Cardin was well ahead of both men at 50 percent. The campaigns for Cardin and Bongino are working on the details for debates, and a spokeswoman for Bongino’s campaign says planning has involved campaigns that went through the primary election process.
Maybe we can just simplify the matter and limit the debate to Cardin.
Well, this should boost Bongino.
Rumsfeld backs Bongino.

Delaware.  Funny.
The campaign spokesman for Republican U.S. Senate candidate Kevin Wade sent out an email to a list of press contacts this morning (maybe by mistake) outlining his plans to “gain traction” in the final weeks before election day.
His plan: More press releases — five a week should do it.


to the Senate races that are actually being fought

Friday, September 28th, 2012

Missouri:
Todd Akin’s political comeback commences anew, predictably.  First the likes of Jim DeMint takes a peek in to prop him him, now The RSCC is shading in as other races fall by the wayside.  His latest gaffe — “McCaskill is less ladylike than she was in 2006” — is, um, probably just a way to the hearts of his caveman constituency.   McCaskill, for her part, plays her role and calls Bachmann a hippy.

North Dakota .

The Department of Justice is looking at a tv ad in which a retired Deputy U.S. Marshal appears on behalf of U.S. Senate candidate Rick Berg.
Jake Werner is clearly identified as retired from the Marshal’s service in the ad, which compares the positions of Berg and Democrat Heidi Heitkamp on the economy. Chief Deputy U.S. Marshal Dan Orr in Fargo says the Office of General Counsel is reviewing the commercial to determine whether it gives the appearance that the federal law enforcement agency is supporting Berg.
Orr says he expects a response from Washington by the end of the week.
The Berg campaign says it’s not aware of the review. The ad is sponsored by the National Republican Senatorial Committee.

AND
The ad attempts to refute Berg’s claim that he’s had “absolutely no involvement” with Goldmark, and it uses audio of him saying as much. But to refute Berg’s claim, it lists a myriad of evidence — including a real estate license application from Berg that notes his affiliation with Goldmark, previous reports that he was a spokesman for Goldmark and federal forms on which he listed Goldmark as an employer.

“Rick, how can we believe anything?” the narrator asks at the end.

Massachusetts.
Scott Brown and the Tomahawk Chop.  You really can’t do that these days.  But more interesting … what exactly is the history of that?

Maine.  Angus King tries to right a slightly leaky ship.

Indiana.  Dick Lugar won’t campaign for Richard Mourdock.  So is why is the Wall Street Journal urging him to?  Polls show a sizebale chunk of Lugar primary voters going to the Democrat… and that’s the crux of the race.

 

The Washington State politicos are awfully silent…

Thursday, September 27th, 2012

Pretty much every politician in Wisconsin has tweeted their outrage at the Packers — Seahawks call.  The attention has turned to Governor Walker and Representative Paul Ryan, wanting the refs back, hence the irony of these two pols backing the Union.  I don’t know if buttressing Union cred was at stake for Obama’s tweet, but there he was too.

To anyone who chimes in with a “Don’t these politicians have … Problems to solve… and better uses of their time than to pontificate on Sports?”… Consider the case of Martha Coakley, who lost Ted Kennedy’s seat to Scott Brown, and was pilloried for not knowing who Curt Schilling was… committing a faux pas of calling him a “Yankee fan“.  Cynically, in the world of “Rooting for Laundry” that is pro-sports I was thinking at the time (1) Just wait a year, and (2) Isn’t he a Diamonback?  So, pols are damned if they do, damned a lot more if they don’t.

Or maybe not.  Kind of depends on your geography and how storied the franchise you’ve got is.  I note that there isn’t any political figure in Washington State chiming in on the great Seahawks walking away with a misbegotten victory.   There’s a big Governor’s race — Jay Inslee and Rob McKenna.  Surely they can spend 15 minutes at one of the debates on the topic?  And what about Jim McDermott — The great Train-wreck / Crime Scene that garnered the highest rated Sportscenter in history (even if it was just re-looping the same five seconds of footage over and over again) happened in his district … or is he too busy leaving God out of the Pledge of Allegiance every chance he can find  and planning his pilgrimage to Saddam Hussein’s grave-site to take note of referee controversies?
Maybe his opponent, Ron Bemis, can chime in?

Personally, I would back any candidate who — prior to the just now agreement deal that’s returning the refs — would speak in behalf of the be-leagured Replacements… “They’re bringing in a Wild Card element to the game that’s adding excitement to the game.”     Too late, I guess.

Kucinich beats Hastings before Hastings beats Baechler

Wednesday, September 26th, 2012

Yes, I was too damned cynical in assessing Doc Hastings’s opponents’ motives.

Jan Smith.  I thought Mary Baechler sold the Baby Jogger Company in 2004. How could she be doing this for a promotional attempt. This just shows how in tune Doc Hastings is in the 4th District.

I think I was musing over the remarks by a billionaire Republican Senate candidate running a campaign against an entrenched Democratic Incumbent who made remarks that running to promote your company is a good reason to run.  It doesn’t even matter if you lose.
This apparently isn’t  Mary Baechler’s reason.  Her company’s out of her hands.  But a while ago a sad “Dump Doc Hastings” blog had the entry noting the Democrats had failed to recruit its candidate.  A good reason to run is “stepping in the breach” — the void, even in a jungle primary of a heavily Republican district — the Democrat would still likely be the second candidate — that would otherwise fall to a Gordon Allen Pross type.

So… that cleared away… I guess it’s time for me to survey the latest on Congressman Hastings.

We see Hastings at the hustles…. Well then.

Doc shared that we got the same Paul Ryan as VP candidate that he has known and worked with for the last 14 years. He said Ryan is the “real deal”.

And a hyped up Pat Murray in the district (bringing up vote tally for Jay Inslee’s state-wide contest and beyond) , talking at the same time Hastings was… and I guess the answer from the Republican point of view It just does.

EDITOR’S NOTE — How exactly does holding middle-class tax cuts hostage to extending tax cuts to the wealthiest 1% address “the crushing burden of debt”?

In terms of big Legislative attempts… it looks like Hastings was defeated by Dennis Kucinich… who I guess has the luxury of offending Washington State by virtue of not jumping in to carpet-bag in the newly redrawn 10th district in the Seattle Suburbs.

In a vote that came up in the House of Representatives on September 20 during a “suspension of the rules,” the Manhattan Project National Historical Park Act (HR 5987) won a majority vote of 237/180, or 55% to 42%, but failed because the bill required a two-thirds majority to pass.

The suspension of the rules is typically used to pass non-controversial bills quickly with only 40 minutes of debate, but in this case, the bipartisan-sponsored bill turned out to be more controversial than anticipated. One hundred twelve Republicans voted against it, as did 68 Democrats.

In particular, a statement on Congressman Dennis Kucinich’s (D-OH) website gives him credit for leading “a bipartisan coalition of 180 Members of Congress to stand for veterans, for fiscal responsibility and friendship with the Japanese people” to defeat this bill.

“The technology which created the bomb cannot be separated from the horror the bomb created,” Kucinich’s statement continues. “We should not celebrate the death of hundreds of thousands of innocent civilians or the destruction of two major Japanese cities no matter how proud we are of our ability to innovate.”

I’m neutral on this matter, but I don’t quite get Kucinich’s logic.  Also I very much  But … I gather commemoration seems in order, doesn’t it Kucinich?  And I very much doubt this is the reason for the no votes, especially amongst the 112 Republicans — who would be more along the lines of the “fiscal responsibility” card that would likely have Doc Hastings opposing the bill if it weren’t in his backyard.

dates on tshirts

Tuesday, September 25th, 2012

I saw a t-shirt with “10-13-2012” on it, followed by the words “If you thought [some other date] is big”…

I sure as hell hope that the date that I saw when I glanced — 9-11-2001 — wasn’t the date on the shirt, because … I don’t know… 10/13 is sort of significant to me and I wouldn’t want it to be clumped in the same category as 9/11.

Also that would make for a very disturbing message that would get them pulled over at an airport, or just about any other security check-point.

I would like to know what date that was, and what is happening on 10/13-2012 that is bigger than the other date, though.