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the big veeeeeep show

Tuesday, October 4th, 2016

Tonight’s the night.  The Most Important Vice Presidential debate in the history of America.

Because… as we all know, Hillary Clinton is a robot who will die of pneumonia within the first two years of her presidency, and will have to punt the job over to Tim Kaine because she lacks the stamina to open a jar of pickles.

And because… as we all know, Donald Trump is putting the vice president in charge of domestic and foreign policy to focus on “Making America Great Again” — and to continue a focus on Celebrity Apprentice — and anyway his head will explode while composing an epic series of 3 am twitter rant.

So whoever wins, will surely be the forty-fifth president.  (44th if you want to include Cleveland only once)…

It’s just a matter of time before Hillary Clinton is exposed as a robot.  Or is it an alien love baby?  One or the other.

So pass the popcorn, and … there will be no entertainment value in this one … it’s a throwback to when politics was about sober discussion of policy and reality tv stars weren’t allowed on set.

trump exigis

Monday, October 3rd, 2016

Sigh.

All right.  The “Blue Collar Billionaire” schtick goes up in smoke.  Like… Donald Trump is just like the rest of us, just richer.

And, you know, his ability to loop hole his tax burden to “Zero” is very compatible to his role as President.  Like the Simpsons episode, where Bart challenges foreign nation’s “coolness” to defer debt to buy President Lisa Simpsons time.

the two memes take-aways from the debate

Thursday, September 29th, 2016

In partial defense of Donald Trump…

… I think this falls into a category of “Man-Splaining”… (Which sub-category, I don’t know — there are sub-categories for this one, aren’t there?)

… and, as a defense, it falls into the category of “Doesn’t do Donald Trump any favors”.

It’s probably the case that “Miss Universe”, as set up by Donald Trump, would have to fulfill the duties of fitting the normative definition of beauty that she won the beauty contest with for… that year she’s Miss Universe.  (It has to be in the contract, right?)

The fact that that’s sexist is the result of what sexist shindigs these things are.  Particularly as under the ownership of Donald Trump.  Apparently.
Actually, I’m less surprised that Donald Trump tripped over the “losing a slice of that Suburban Women” demographic with one slip at the debate — he has a lot to answer for…

then I am that he slipped up on the same thing that cost Mitt Romney……

His “Don’t pay taxes, ’cause I’m smart” lining up with Mitt Romney’s “47 percent” comments.  Being that the logic of a Donald Trump victory lands on him winning a slice of “Rust Belt” white men who would align with opposition to free trade and bristle at being called one of the “deplorables” by Hillary Clinton or “clinging to guns and god” by Obama…

 

generic d versus generic r

Tuesday, September 27th, 2016

Ted Cruz, I’m thinking, gambled at the time of the convention that it might be a landslide, or a low-level landslide, against Trump.  Seeing that Trump is coming in for at worst that low-level landslide loss and at best a win, he decided he had to throw in the towel and state he was siding with Trump.  Never mind his insinuation that his father killed Kennedy.

It probably doesn’t matter.  Cruz will continue to roil in the Senate for another term or two — maybe a term and a half, and won’t get anywhere in a presidential bid.

The Republicans have consolidated behind Trump, and Cruz is the last one in.  Which makes this election a  little funny… I’m thinking after all this, after all the over-bloated personalities that would shake the map up in curious ways, this election might just come down to how a Generic Democrat fares against a Generic Republican.

Which might not be that odd.  Maybe Trump is Generic Republican and Clinton is Generic Democrat.  There’s a reason they slid through the process the two parties have set up, roiling across the electoral fissures in each party.  If not Clinton, who?  If not Trump, who?  If the particular personality problem that forged the tightening of the polls was Hillary Clinton’s health and a week off — and here we’ll see whether this feeds into a larger narrative and the poll positions remain the same or if Clinton’s dwindling polling was the result of being out of the campaign hustlings for a week — it might be a remnant of the problem with the party with the public– not up to the standards of the Uber economy, the metanarrative of tired and old – or — something…

Sooo… that ad aiming at the Suburban Republican set — interesting to digest in the way it explicitly zooms in gender-wise from an earlier ad of “won’t somebody please think of the children?”  There is one push-back, or there would be, in the sense that I hope not to see policing of what flies in Entertainment.  I’m getting just a little queasy reading in liberal mags some extrapulation of the problems inherent in the field of un-pc professional wrestling, with Donald Trump’s dipping into that industry.  But the good news here for this line of attack is Trump never separated himself from his Entertainment world persona…

My theories of the election had it that perhaps it’d remain close up to the debates, when Hillary Clinton would pull away.  This had been super-ceded when Hillary Clinton pulled away — as Trump wasn’t recalibrating into a New Trump, and then dropped back to parity with Trump — when Trump finally did and when Clinton got sick.  It may be possible that the first theory will prove correct after-all, with that weird interim.

Good news.  According to Prisonplanet, Hillary Clinton bombed because she has one of those bumps that shows something or other and… since when does Alex Jones start linking to Ted Cruz facebook pages (globalist and Republican hack and all that)?  [And the beat continues…]

the damned debate going on right now

Monday, September 26th, 2016

Donald Trump might have had a point about getting the Debate off of the same schedule of Football…

… though the NFL may have done the political football world a favor by placing on the schedule a Saints — Falcons game.  High offense, surely.  Lots of losses over the last season…

It is hard to decide how that great swing voter in Ohio sees the yelling of Donald Trump and the chiding Hillary Clinton… The big problem — and we recall “Bush benefits from low expectations”…

Though in the end the game has to be for the two candidates to push forward on their electoral narrative, the slight up and down of the moment notwithstanding…

Donald Trump is right now trumpeting against NAFTA and trade deals, and getting into a — perhaps accurate — digging at Hillary Clinton’s “one hand and another hand” on the issue.

And is right now sarcastically charging Hillary Clinton with fighting ISIS over 30 years…

Oh, dear lord, he just played the “Obama going to play golf all the time after his presidency” card.  Is that a current right wing meme?

Brings up the email issue “Release the emails; I’ll release the taxes”, audience explodes in applause.  Donald Trump makes hay of lack of paying taxes — “that makes me smarter”… I’d think that would play in the same problem with Romney’s 47 percent thing — though I frankly thank Hillary Clinton’s speculating is off-key.

(Sigh)  Falcons 21, Saints 14.

Trump… “We’ve become a third world problem.”  I have a hunch Americans don’t believe /want to believe…

And… Gary Johnson is aiming for a parcel of the Hillary Clinton ufo / space vote.  This will solve Global warming.

Jill Stein plays that same game as Ralph Nader — goes to the debate, gets ushered off.  You can now read her twitter stream if you care.

tweedle-dee, tweedledum, tweedleho

Friday, September 23rd, 2016

I.  Russia’s parliamentary election brings out a resounding land-slide victory for the ruling “United Russia” Party of Vladimir Putin.

In terms of seats in Parliament, United Russia leapt to 343 from 238, a gain of 105 seats and an absolute majority. The other parties in Parliament, which rarely challenge Mr. Putin, all shrank. The Communist Party lost 50 seats, to 42 from 92; the nationalist Liberal Democratic Party was down 17 seats, to 39 from 56; and A Just Russia had 41 seats disappear, to 23 from 64.

As per wikipedia, here’s the old parliament.  And the New Parliament.

russianparliamentpre16russianparliamentpost16 

 

 

As you can see… the Blue “Putin Party” has increased in size total, and the other “merely supporting Putin” Parties have dropped in size total.

Curious editorializing, though.

After Mr Putin’s first term in office, which ended in 2004, the Duma ceased to be a democratic forum; it merely rubber-stamped the Kremlin’s edicts. But its standing—and that of United Russia—was sustained to an extent by high oil prices and a growing economy. At least the Duma could not be ignored, as it provided a rare means of access to the Kremlin, which distributed the oil rent. With the sharp fall in oil revenues, the economy in recession and real incomes dropping, this is no longer the case. Social scientists note that the urban middle class—the most economically active part of the country—has no real representation; United Russia is just a vehicle for the Kremlin to exert power.  By shutting out the opposition and marginalising even the tame Duma, the Kremlin is pushing Russian politics into unchartered and potentially dangerous territory. Mr Putin’s latest victory turns the Duma into more of a sham. As a result, he risks becoming detached. In the view of Gleb Pavlovsky, a political analyst and former adviser to Mr Putin, Russia’s leaders are like pilots flying in heavy turbulence with the cockpit dials all painted over.

Uncharted?  I’m thinking of a series of 1952 Pogos from cartoonist Walt Kelly, the heavy-handed political satire bringing in a Soviet Bear… talking up the Soviet election system of the leaders winning with 99.7 percent (or some such figure) of the vote.

II.  It’s interesting to see how the deposed left-wing leader in Brazil — who, either was the victim of a “soft coup” sanctioned by the United States or was simply offed off of popular uprising against corruption– left office with a historically low approval rating… to be replaced by an equally unpopular and loathsome right-wing leader.

But we see they’ve all had their ups and downs

Imagine, for a moment, Trump or Clinton win.  And in two years, by some convoluted process that’s technically legal and by-passes norms of electoral processes we arrive at an unpopular Clinton or Trump replacing an unpopular Trump or Clinton.
Maybe an impeached Vice President Pence or Kaine and the naming of Trump or Clinton as Speaker of the House (who, it should be noted, does not have to be a member of the House).

III.  Funny ad in the New York Times.  Turkey pulled out an ad extolling its democracy, and positing it as partners in stuff and things with the USA.  Sure… sure… and it’s surely complicated, but… NEXT!

senates

Wednesday, September 21st, 2016

Meet the Democrat who is running for Senate.  Misty Snow.  She would be the first transgendered woman in the Senate.  And is not a politician.  And would represent Utah.  And it is a little puzzling why anyone would pay to poll this race, but there it is.

Georgia’s Democratic Senate candidate is a Bernie Sanders backer socialist.

Alaska’s race is weird — the Republican incumbent won six years ago in a write-in generation election campaign appealing to Democrats against the tea party insurgent who beat her in the primary election and is now running as a Libertarian where the Democratic candidate is a former Republican at odds with the state party and so the party is reaching to the Democratic senator who lost two years ago to wage a write-in for little or no purpose, given that the Republican incumbent will win easily.

John Boozman of Arkansas can’t be bothered to debate.  The two minor party candidates (Democrat and Libertarian) try their best to put on a show.

Every Republican needs to run against Obama-care, declares the Weekly Standard.  It’ll win them everything!!!

snippets of the damnable election race

Wednesday, September 21st, 2016

He came in 10th in 2012, and he is running again.  Or so says his facebook page.

Trump Jr. gets in trouble due to a Skittles photo.  Herein is an attempt to put the problem of Trump kids into a political context.  Conan O’brien gets it a little better, though it veers into the arena of right wing politics Trump has strayed from.

George Herbert Walker Bush just voted for Hillary Clinton.  Kathleen Kennedy Townsend tweeted the news, than… er… untweeted?  The bottom half of the Internet reacts in a fury.

A key point about the Trump response

“I think what is most disturbing about this report to me, Erin, is that someone divulged a private conversation — it doesn’t seem like it was meant for public consumption. And that’s always very bothersome to me.” — Private conversations are different than Democratic emails hacked by Russians and leaked online.

Yeah, well… at least this tweet has been vetted a bit. Unlike the one about Bill Weld dropping out of the race — wishful wistful thinking.