Obama, McCain, and the Map
States that Gore and or Kerry carried which loom as problems for Obama and areas of opportunity for McCain: Pennsylvania and Michigan.
Additional states McCain may win which loom not as large:Â New Hampshire.
States Bush carried in 2004 which a betting man and/or woman would figure Obama will win: Iowa and New Mexico. (Not coincidentally the two states Gore carried and which Bush carried by less than one percent.)
States Kerry won which Obama figures to win more easily:Â Wisconsin (won by Bush by less than one percentage point), Minnesota, Oregon.
States which figured not at all in Gore’s electoral calculus, somewhat in Kerry’s, and figure prominently in Obama’s: Colorado and Virginia… and Nevada
Obama’s hope for the semi-outlier Virginia: That Mark Warner has coat-tails which can bring along a presidential candidate.
States certainly figured in Gore and Kerry’s electoral calculations which Obama will be placing as secondary of importance (ie: not essential):Â Florida.
“Swing” states with Senate races liable to switch from Republican to Democrat:Â Virginia, New Hampshire, New Mexico, Minnesota, Oregon, Colorado.
States that Dukakis carried which Obama wouldn’t win if his life depended on it:Â West Virginia.
States that Dukakis carried which Hillary Clinton wouldn’t win if her life depended on it:Â West Virginia.
Vice presidential selections you will know Obama stared at the map in guiding his selection:Â Bill Richardson, Ted Strickland, Ed Rendell, Jim Webb.
Vice presidential selections you know McCain stared at the map in guiding his selection:Â Florida governor Charlie Crist, Minnesota governor Tim Pawlenty.
Puzzle of the moment:Â Why is the unlikely combination of a “Obama / Clinton” ticket considered a “Dream ticket” for the Democrats where the somewhat more likely combination of a “McCain / Romney” ticket not so much.
Good thing for Obama:Â Where there was no Democratic Party in Ohio for Kerry to lean on, the Republican Party in Ohio has since exploded.
4Â states that I guarantee will be voting for McCain:Â Wyoming, Idaho, Oklahoma, Georgia.
4 states that I guarantee will be voting for Obama:Â Vermont, Rhode Island, Massachusetts, Illinois.
May 12th, 2008 at 7:12 am
your boy bush is getting his butt kicked in iraq
i would love to see bush try to take on hezbollah… lol, hezbollah would win
let’s see big man bush take on iran…
bush can’t even defeat a third world nation, without an air force or army (or at least one that doesn’t join the other side when the shooting starts)
i am LOL at bush and you
jumpers, man your positions because the economic crisis larouche told you about is here and boy is it here
fill up your little cars lately? have you “green” cars? lol
fools, poor pathetic wastes…
i pity you
May 12th, 2008 at 7:14 am
what kind of moron comments on an election like you have above?
as if there are not diebold machines and vote fraud… you silly goose
the nominee of the democratic party hasn’t even been settled yet
oh wait, that’s right… it will be obama: everyone on TV says so therefore it must be true
just like when the TV said iraq had WMD and ties to osama… lol, you jumpers believe anything don’t you?
what clowns you are
May 12th, 2008 at 9:42 am
Comment #1 = non sequitur
Comment #2 = semi sequitur
May 12th, 2008 at 12:00 pm
blogging is a form of some sort of mental disorder in your case
you imagine you have some sort of power because you have a “blog” when in fact reality determines everything you do
you truly are a fool
May 13th, 2008 at 4:27 pm
oh wait, that’s right… it will be obama: everyone on TV says so therefore it must be true
I’ve noted the virtual inevitability of the Obama nomination since just before the Texas and Ohio elections, before the North Carolina and Indiana results prompted the media to do so. You can say I’m wrong in both cases, though with very weak arguments, but you can’t place it as follwoing what “everyone on TV says”.
May 13th, 2008 at 7:37 pm
u have no idea who will be nominated except that it shall be either obama or clinton
u r a clown with a blog ready to jump the first moment your domicile gets foreclosed
u, at any moment, could be foreclosed… no?
watch it happen jumper