{"id":57093,"date":"2024-02-28T07:48:22","date_gmt":"2024-02-28T14:48:22","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.struat.com\/election\/?p=57093"},"modified":"2024-02-28T07:48:23","modified_gmt":"2024-02-28T14:48:23","slug":"spoiling-the-uncommitted","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.struat.com\/election\/2024\/02\/28\/spoiling-the-uncommitted\/","title":{"rendered":"spoiling the uncommitted"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Taking a gander at the Michigan primary election results in the Democratic side and I can&#8217;t help but speculate on the nature of the &#8220;uncommitted vote&#8221;.  First for comparison&#8217;s sake I look at the 2012 results.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Obama, Barack.  87.78%<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Uncommitted.   12.22%<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">And not wholly completed but pretty close to a point we won&#8217;t see any movement for 2024.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Joseph R. Biden Jr.   +81.1%<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Uncommitted.  13.3%<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Marianne Williamson. 3.0%<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Dean Phillips.  2.7%<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The 2012 uncommitted vote can probably be tacked over to the same disaffected arena as the 40 plus percentage points received by a mulletted prison inmate in West Virginia, and I am guessing if we look at a map of votes, there was more strength for uncommitted in rural Michigan than urban Michigan.  I may be wrong &#8212; if I am, even better for my thesis in that the uncommitted vote gets spread out into anything and everything at all.  This year, the similar total for &#8220;uncommitted&#8221; is concentrated in Dearborn and college towns, all based on mobilizing against Israel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The question: did the appropriation of the &#8220;uncommitted&#8221; line into a single issue mobilization depress the &#8220;Uncommitted&#8221; vote turnout, away from a more generic discontent, state-wide?  Say you are a mainline Democrat who simply thinks Biden is too old and either who the Hell is Dean Philips or why can he not say a damned negative thing about Trump, and Marianne Williamson is a nutcase self help guru who dropped out of the race anyway.  But now you cannot vote for &#8220;Uncommitted&#8221; because tomorrow you will hear from pundits declaring a victory for those has passed who were tying up the streets chanting the asinine premise &#8220;From the River to the Sea!&#8221;  You are stuck back at Biden or not voting.  Like, couldn&#8217;t this single issue campaign have formed a new ballot line instead of hi-jacking this one?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Republican voters did not have to worry about this factor.  A Nikki Haley was a vote for everything and nothing &#8211; &#8211; statement of discontent for the status quo of Trump.  So uncommitted received 3 percent of that vote.  Add another 2 percent for the drop-outs &#8212; which I guess are their truer supporters than the candidates themselves, and we are still always from the Obama 2012 \/ Biden 2024 numbers.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Taking a gander at the Michigan primary election results in the Democratic side and I can&#8217;t help but speculate on the nature of the &#8220;uncommitted vote&#8221;. First for comparison&#8217;s sake I look at the 2012 results. Obama, Barack. 87.78% Uncommitted. 12.22% And not wholly completed but pretty close to a point we won&#8217;t see any [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-57093","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.struat.com\/election\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/57093","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.struat.com\/election\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.struat.com\/election\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.struat.com\/election\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.struat.com\/election\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=57093"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"http:\/\/www.struat.com\/election\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/57093\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":57095,"href":"http:\/\/www.struat.com\/election\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/57093\/revisions\/57095"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.struat.com\/election\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=57093"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.struat.com\/election\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=57093"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.struat.com\/election\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=57093"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}