States that Gore and or Kerry carried which loom as problems for Obama\u00c2\u00a0and areas of opportunity for McCain:\u00c2\u00a0 Pennsylvania and Michigan.<\/p>\n
Additional states McCain may win which loom not as large:\u00c2\u00a0 New Hampshire.<\/p>\n
States Bush carried in 2004 which a betting man and\/or woman would figure Obama will win:\u00c2\u00a0 Iowa and New Mexico.\u00c2\u00a0 (Not coincidentally the two states Gore carried and which Bush carried by less than one percent.)<\/p>\n
States Kerry won which Obama figures to win more easily:\u00c2\u00a0 Wisconsin (won by Bush by less than one percentage point), Minnesota, Oregon.<\/p>\n
States which figured not at all in Gore’s electoral calculus, somewhat in Kerry’s, and figure prominently in Obama’s:\u00c2\u00a0 Colorado\u00c2\u00a0and Virginia… and Nevada<\/p>\n
Obama’s hope for the semi-outlier Virginia: That Mark Warner has coat-tails which can bring along a presidential candidate.<\/p>\n
States certainly figured in Gore and Kerry’s electoral calculations which Obama will be placing as secondary of importance (ie: not essential):\u00c2\u00a0 Florida.<\/p>\n
“Swing” states with Senate races liable to switch from Republican to Democrat:\u00c2\u00a0 Virginia, New Hampshire, New Mexico, Minnesota, Oregon, Colorado.<\/p>\n
States that Dukakis carried which Obama wouldn’t win if his life depended on it:\u00c2\u00a0 West Virginia.
\nStates that Dukakis carried which Hillary Clinton wouldn’t win if her life depended on it:\u00c2\u00a0 West Virginia.<\/p>\n
Vice presidential selections you will know Obama stared at the map in guiding his selection:\u00c2\u00a0 Bill Richardson, Ted Strickland, Ed Rendell, Jim Webb.<\/p>\n
Vice presidential selections you know McCain stared at the map in guiding his selection:\u00c2\u00a0 Florida governor Charlie Crist, Minnesota governor Tim Pawlenty.<\/p>\n
Puzzle of the moment:\u00c2\u00a0 Why is the unlikely combination of a “Obama \/ Clinton” ticket considered a “Dream ticket” for the Democrats where the somewhat more likely combination of a “McCain \/ Romney” ticket not so much.<\/p>\n
Good thing for Obama:\u00c2\u00a0 Where there was no Democratic Party in Ohio for Kerry to lean on, the Republican Party in Ohio has since exploded.<\/p>\n
4\u00c2\u00a0states that I guarantee will be voting for McCain:\u00c2\u00a0 Wyoming, Idaho, Oklahoma, Georgia.<\/p>\n
4 states that I guarantee will be voting for Obama:\u00c2\u00a0 Vermont, Rhode Island, Massachusetts, Illinois.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
States that Gore and or Kerry carried which loom as problems for Obama\u00c2\u00a0and areas of opportunity for McCain:\u00c2\u00a0 Pennsylvania and Michigan. Additional states McCain may win which loom not as large:\u00c2\u00a0 New Hampshire. States Bush carried in 2004 which a betting man and\/or woman would figure Obama will win:\u00c2\u00a0 Iowa and New Mexico.\u00c2\u00a0 (Not coincidentally […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2897","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.struat.com\/election\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2897","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.struat.com\/election\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.struat.com\/election\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.struat.com\/election\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.struat.com\/election\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2897"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"http:\/\/www.struat.com\/election\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2897\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.struat.com\/election\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2897"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.struat.com\/election\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2897"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.struat.com\/election\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2897"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}