{"id":17790,"date":"2018-11-07T17:19:11","date_gmt":"2018-11-08T00:19:11","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.struat.com\/election\/?p=17790"},"modified":"2018-11-07T17:45:04","modified_gmt":"2018-11-08T00:45:04","slug":"everything-and-nothing-changed-after-election-2018","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.struat.com\/election\/2018\/11\/07\/everything-and-nothing-changed-after-election-2018\/","title":{"rendered":"everything and nothing changed after Election 2018"},"content":{"rendered":"

I think when Nate Silver and 538 conjure up a narrow loss by Beto O’Rourke as a good thing for his 2020’s presidential ambitions because it leaves him unencumbered, that he is joking.<\/p>\n

I … think.<\/p>\n

But now I get this “take away” from David Frum positing something of the opposite<\/a>.<\/p>\n

If Beto O\u00e2\u20ac\u2122Rourke had eked it out in Texas, Democrats might well have nominated him for president in 2020, almost guaranteeing a debacle.\u00c2\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n

Har de Har har.<\/p>\n

Looking around, and as always elections bring with them weird maps to ponder, unlike previous midterms the two political parties were energized to vote.\u00c2\u00a0 So there isn’t any giant whalloping that’s coming here.\u00c2\u00a0 Just… the post Trump realignment of a bunch of Romney — Clinton districts that didn’t take place two years ago (because the message Paul Ryan had in touting Republican congress candidates was a “Vote for –! Vote for Pence!\u00c2\u00a0 And, Trump, I guess…”)\u00c2\u00a0 and the fact that the possible Obama — Trump senate seat pick up possibilities were hold over from Democratic victories six years ago.\u00c2\u00a0 Meantime, the relative closeness of the lackadasical Senate election in Michigan (Stabenow beat a “John James” by 6 percentage points) and for that matter Ohio and Minnesota’s special, as too some gubernatorial races … doesn’t really argure well for Dem’s chances in 2020.\u00c2\u00a0 Florida is bizarrely fixed at precisely the political partisan alignment of two years ago, which … extrapulate that across the Southerner tinged bases of the rust belt map…<\/p>\n

… Maybe Beto O’Rourke is vice presidential timber to try to pull down Texas?<\/p>\n

I suppose purely optics based, the visual of Nancy Pelosi sitting behind Trump at the State of the Union for the next two years has… something of appeal.\u00c2\u00a0 At least thee’ll be the spectacle of Pence jumping up as Pelosi tries her hand at the Ryan stone slight frown face.\u00c2\u00a0 And Trump does as every conventional president does after the election — fire Jeff Sessions.\u00c2\u00a0 Replace him with someone obsessed who thinks the real story is Clinton’s email trail.<\/p>\n

And I just want to know where the whole mass of ballots in Arizona are from<\/a>…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

I think when Nate Silver and 538 conjure up a narrow loss by Beto O’Rourke as a good thing for his 2020’s presidential ambitions because it leaves him unencumbered, that he is joking. I … think. But now I get this “take away” from David Frum positing something of the opposite. If Beto O\u00e2\u20ac\u2122Rourke had […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-17790","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.struat.com\/election\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17790","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.struat.com\/election\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.struat.com\/election\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.struat.com\/election\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.struat.com\/election\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=17790"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"http:\/\/www.struat.com\/election\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17790\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":17795,"href":"http:\/\/www.struat.com\/election\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17790\/revisions\/17795"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.struat.com\/election\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=17790"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.struat.com\/election\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=17790"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.struat.com\/election\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=17790"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}