{"id":15385,"date":"2016-03-31T16:27:30","date_gmt":"2016-03-31T23:27:30","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.struat.com\/election\/?p=15385"},"modified":"2016-04-03T15:23:35","modified_gmt":"2016-04-03T22:23:35","slug":"will-the-republicans-find-a-new-garfield-or-a-new-davis","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.struat.com\/election\/2016\/03\/31\/will-the-republicans-find-a-new-garfield-or-a-new-davis\/","title":{"rendered":"will the Republicans find a new Garfield, or a new Davis?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The &#8220;<a href=\"http:\/\/historynewsnetwork.org\/article\/162187\">52 Year Rule<\/a>&#8221; for the Republican Party &#8212; things go haywire every 52 years &#8212; 1912, 1964, and now 2016&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/talkingpointsmemo.com\/livewire\/rnc-contested-convention-website\">And what to expect in a contested convention<\/a>, which was par for the course not too long ago in our history.\u00c2\u00a0 (Of course, it produced presidents such as &#8230; James Garfield&#8230; men who had not much interest in being president.\u00c2\u00a0 Maybe we can end up with something like that this time around?)<\/p>\n<p>More likely, because &#8220;contested convention&#8221; is now synonymous with &#8220;party chaos&#8221;, and how can you trust a party in power after all the chaos &#8212; watch for the November Thumping from Hillary Clinton.\u00c2\u00a0 [Somehow Trump has to win with no woman voting for him, and no Latino voting for him.\u00c2\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.washingtonmonthly.com\/political-animal-a\/2016_03\/is_trumps_support_collapsing060114.php\">Basically<\/a>.]<\/p>\n<p><em>Just a few weeks ago Priebus said the odds that there would not be a brokered convention were &#8220;85, 90 percent.&#8221; However, the launch of the website suggests the RNC is beginning to prepare for the reality that there could be one.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>In a sense, this is good.\u00c2\u00a0 If Politics are to be an appendage of the Entertainment Industry &#8212; what, with a Reality TV Star the front-runner of a political party &#8212; might as well make what had become a boring block of dreck &#8220;entertaining&#8221;.\u00c2\u00a0 (Of course, it&#8217;ll be glossed over in parliamentary procedures designed for the purpose of tediousness.\u00c2\u00a0 <a href=\"https:\/\/reason.com\/blog\/2016\/03\/31\/gops-2012-rule-to-thwart-ron-paul-now-in\">Watch to see recalibrations of &#8220;Stop Ron Paul&#8221; for &#8220;Stop Donald Trump<\/a>&#8220;.)<\/p>\n<p>As for the &#8220;52&#8221; designation &#8212; it&#8217;s possible this a pattern search &#8212; sure, a mid-point between 1912 and the Taft &#8212; Roosevelt split (two political insiders, worth pointing out) and the Trump ascension in the Republican Party happens to be a historical fight \/ conservative ascendancy.\u00c2\u00a0 But was 1952 and Eisenhower &#8212; Taft any less eventful or dramatic?<\/p>\n<p>With the Democrats &#8212; the years that hang over everything as chaotic and divisive markers are 1860, 1896, 1924 and 1968.\u00c2\u00a0 Splinters come about in 1948, which reverberate from 1860, but that one produced a winning candidate, so it falls apart in the same way 1952 does.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The &#8220;52 Year Rule&#8221; for the Republican Party &#8212; things go haywire every 52 years &#8212; 1912, 1964, and now 2016&#8230; And what to expect in a contested convention, which was par for the course not too long ago in our history.\u00c2\u00a0 (Of course, it produced presidents such as &#8230; James Garfield&#8230; men who had [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-15385","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.struat.com\/election\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15385","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.struat.com\/election\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.struat.com\/election\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.struat.com\/election\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.struat.com\/election\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=15385"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"http:\/\/www.struat.com\/election\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15385\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":15398,"href":"http:\/\/www.struat.com\/election\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15385\/revisions\/15398"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.struat.com\/election\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=15385"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.struat.com\/election\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=15385"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.struat.com\/election\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=15385"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}