{"id":142,"date":"2006-06-27T15:06:25","date_gmt":"2006-06-27T22:06:25","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.struat.com\/election\/?p=142"},"modified":"2006-06-27T15:06:25","modified_gmt":"2006-06-27T22:06:25","slug":"the-one-percent-doctrine","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.struat.com\/election\/2006\/06\/27\/the-one-percent-doctrine\/","title":{"rendered":"The One Percent Doctrine"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a name=\"004382\"><\/a><a href=\"http:\/\/www.amazon.com\/gp\/product\/0743271092\/102-3811600-3502513?%5Fencoding=UTF8&amp;v=glance&amp;n=283155\">This would explain a few things<\/a>, namely various incredulous pronouncements made by the Bush Administration over the past five and a half years.<\/p>\n<p><\/i>The title of Ron Suskind&#8217;s riveting new book, &#8220;The One Percent Doctrine,&#8221; refers to an operating principle that he says Vice President Dick Cheney articulated shortly after 9\/11: in Mr. Suskind&#8217;s words, &#8220;if there was even a 1 percent chance of terrorists getting a weapon of mass destruction \u2014 and there has been a small probability of such an occurrence for some time \u2014 the United States must now act as if it were a certainty.&#8221; He quotes Mr. Cheney saying that it&#8217;s not about &#8220;our analysis,&#8221; it&#8217;s about &#8220;our response,&#8221; and argues that this conviction effectively sidelines the traditional policymaking process of analysis and debate, making suspicion, not evidence, the new threshold for action.<\/i> <\/p>\n<p>Now, if you assume that something assessed to have a one percent chance of happening is certain, that is a conversion of a one percent chance into a one hundred percent chance.  Within this new framework, you assess something new as having a one percent chance.  We now arrive at point zero one percent.  And, of course, this new one percent, properly a point zero one percent, becomes a certainty, and we start all over again.<\/p>\n<p>Ad infinitum.  You go from the scale of the cosmos and move into sub-atomic particles&#8230; whatever it was that scientists deemed quarks were composed of a few years back.<\/p>\n<p>The problem comes in that the reciprocal is not followed through &#8212; for the sake of a one percent, you are not following through the percentages of consequences in addressing the one percent.  Further, the fact that the ninety-nine percent are being bumped up against, and the ninety nine percent turns out to be the reality, complicates the consequences.<\/p>\n<p>Further, when you slide into absolute certainty over what should be one slice out of a hundred, it&#8217;s nearly impossible to snap back to the one to one scale on that scale.  We&#8217;re already in quadraple zero terriotry.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>This would explain a few things, namely various incredulous pronouncements made by the Bush Administration over the past five and a half years. The title of Ron Suskind&#8217;s riveting new book, &#8220;The One Percent Doctrine,&#8221; refers to an operating principle that he says Vice President Dick Cheney articulated shortly after 9\/11: in Mr. Suskind&#8217;s words, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-142","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.struat.com\/election\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/142","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.struat.com\/election\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.struat.com\/election\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.struat.com\/election\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.struat.com\/election\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=142"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"http:\/\/www.struat.com\/election\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/142\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.struat.com\/election\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=142"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.struat.com\/election\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=142"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.struat.com\/election\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=142"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}