{"id":10749,"date":"2012-11-09T10:21:54","date_gmt":"2012-11-09T17:21:54","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.struat.com\/election\/?p=10749"},"modified":"2012-11-09T10:23:50","modified_gmt":"2012-11-09T17:23:50","slug":"10749","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.struat.com\/election\/2012\/11\/09\/10749\/","title":{"rendered":"making some sense of the elections"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Slade Gorton, a moderate Republican in the Washington legislature\u00c2\u00a0, noticed a trend in the state&#8217;s party\u00c2\u00a0elections after 1976 that would hold important implications for the future.\u00c2\u00a0 In 1964, moderates had lost to \u00c2\u00a0Goldwater\u00c2\u00a0supporters in the intra-party contests of that critical year, and the local and state organizations remained in the hands of conservatives even after Goldwater&#8217;s electoral wipeout.\u00c2\u00a0 But across the 1960s and 1970s, &#8220;the Goldwater people who were in the party organization became more pragmatic&#8221; as a consequence of governing and attempting to appeal to a broader constituency.\u00c2\u00a0 This lead conservative supporters of Reagan, who were energized by his presidential bids, to run against the Goldwaterites and turn them out of office.\u00c2\u00a0 The newly elected Reaganites in their turn were to become more pragmatic by the very act of attempting to govern and win reelection, until a dozen or so years later they would be deposed by people to their right in the 1994 elections, and the same cycle would repeat itself with the Tea Party Movement.\u00c2\u00a0 &#8220;The people who are in party organizations and want to win elections have to make certain compromises in order to win&#8221; Gorton condluded, and &#8220;then they get thrown out by true believers&#8221;.<br \/>\nThis logic implied the Republican\u00c2\u00a0Party&#8217;s ability to govern would always be undercut by the demands of its most fervent supporters.\u00c2\u00a0 The same dynamic also implied that in some ways, each successive wave of grassroots activism would move the definition of movement conservatism further to the right, like a ratchet.<\/p>\n<p>from <a href=\"http:\/\/www.amazon.com\/Rule-Ruin-Moderation-Destruction-Development\/dp\/0199768404\">&#8220;Rule and Ruin&#8221; page 350-351<\/a>,\u00c2\u00a0Geoffrey Kabaservice\u00c2\u00a0&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>Outgoing Republicans<br \/>\nOlympia Snowe &#8212; Maine<br \/>\nScott Brown &#8212; Massachusetts<br \/>\nRichard Lugar &#8212; Indiana<br \/>\nKay Bailey Hutchinson &#8212; Texas<br \/>\nJon Kyl &#8212; Arizona<\/p>\n<p>Incoming Republicans<br \/>\nDeb Fischer &#8212; Nebraska<br \/>\nTed Cruz &#8212; Texas<br \/>\nJeff Flake &#8212; Arizona<\/p>\n<p>What we have here are four of the more moderate or less conservative Republicans along with one figure who can be said to be on the conservative side of the party departing and being replaced by three &#8220;Tea Party&#8221; conservatives.<\/p>\n<p>The Democratic picture &#8230;<\/p>\n<p>Ben Nelson Nebraska \u00c2\u00a0&#8212;- Joe Donnally Indiana<br \/>\nKurt Conrad North Dakota &#8212;- Heid\u00c2\u00a0Heitkamp North Dakota<br \/>\nJoseph Lieberman Conncecticut &#8212; Angus King Maine<\/p>\n<p>These three are pretty well analogous switches. \u00c2\u00a0The next four are a step to the left by, for the most party, simple vitality of getting younger in the case of Hawaii, or moving from a culturally conservative Reaganite figure to a more liberal in Vivginia&#8217;s case, or low profile figure to higher profile figure liberal in Wisconsin and New Mexico&#8217;s case.<\/p>\n<p>Jim Webb &#8212; Tim Kaine; Virginia<br \/>\nHerb Kohl &#8212; Tammy Baldwin; Wisconsin<br \/>\nJeff Bingaman &#8212; \u00c2\u00a0Martin Heinrich; New Mexico<br \/>\nDaniel Akaka &#8212; Mazie Hirino; Hawaii<\/p>\n<p>Add to this the two Senators, both on the liberal side of the Democratic Party&#8217;s spectrum.<\/p>\n<p>Chris Murphy &#8212; Connecticut<br \/>\nElizabeth Warren &#8212; Massachusetts<\/p>\n<p>On the House side, the Republicans maintained their majority for the 2012 election by some 2010 state election contests &#8212; namely Secretary of States governors in Ohio, Florida, and Texas. \u00c2\u00a0It was why these contests were more important for partisan purposes than the Congressional landslide. \u00c2\u00a0This is mainly in reference to redistricting. \u00c2\u00a0I suppose it&#8217;s part of the continual process.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Slade Gorton, a moderate Republican in the Washington legislature\u00c2\u00a0, noticed a trend in the state&#8217;s party\u00c2\u00a0elections after 1976 that would hold important implications for the future.\u00c2\u00a0 In 1964, moderates had lost to \u00c2\u00a0Goldwater\u00c2\u00a0supporters in the intra-party contests of that critical year, and the local and state organizations remained in the hands of conservatives even after [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-10749","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.struat.com\/election\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10749","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.struat.com\/election\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.struat.com\/election\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.struat.com\/election\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.struat.com\/election\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=10749"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"http:\/\/www.struat.com\/election\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10749\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":10751,"href":"http:\/\/www.struat.com\/election\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10749\/revisions\/10751"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.struat.com\/election\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=10749"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.struat.com\/election\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=10749"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.struat.com\/election\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=10749"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}