senators and witch-craft

Arizona: Oh, the stupid controversies conjured up by a past political life.  A past association with “witches” leads to the question “… Is Kyrsten Sinema the Democrats’ Christine O’Donnell”?  (Though Sinema mainly seemed to be going for an aesthetic artistic statement with her political activism.)

These matters may or may not be sinking Krysten Sinema.  I see the flood of conservative media online declaring her dead because of this deluge of old “gaffes” from her days as a Green Party anti-war activist.  But then I see the polls… and?
Postdebate poll shows Sinema leading McSally in Arizona’s Senate race.
The best I get now is that she was ahead but within the margin of error but is now behind but within the margin of error.  There is value in banging a narrative into existence, and sometimes it is successful in politics, and also even if we have a “law of diminishing returns” where this shifts it by a point or two that may just be what you need to split the divided electorate… but as of now… that’s what we have.

And here’s something from the publication of the John Birch Society proclaiming Sinema crazy.  One of the issues they cite her for is something about claiming Bush was poisoning the water supply with arsenic.  (I daresay it was probably criticism of lax corporate friendly regulation.)  This from the John Birch Society, who… you know… fluoride.

Texas:   Y’know.  At the end of the 2008 presidential candidae — with candidate Barack Obama having more money than he knew what to do with en route to a large victory, Obama dumped money into multiplayer internet video game ads.  See too Beto O’Rourke for social media en route to… probably a loss… with more money than he knows what to do with.

Something a little odd about this odd variation of the old “stealing lawn sign” controversy

Earlier that Tuesday, the sign caught the attention of Sid Miller, the Texas agriculture commissioner. Miller, who was reportedly on President Trump’s shortlist for U.S. agriculture secretary, posted pictures of the sign on his Facebook page and claimed that the girl depicted was one of Kavanaugh’s young daughters.
“The Democrat sleaze knows NO bounds,” Miller, who’s again running for agriculture commissioner, wrote in a post that was later shared more than a thousand times.

On the “young daughter” claim … this is a put-on on his part… he knows he’s making that detail up, doesn’t he?

Tennessee:  Odd.  I thought this old issue, which popped up in a “er?” in the 2004 elections, had long been settled.

The Vanderbilt poll was much different from other recent polls, which had significantly found Blackburn with a comfortable lead. A New York Times poll conducted during the same time frame placed Blackburn 14 points ahead of Bredesen. However, critics had questioned the methodology of the NYT poll, which they say only polled voters with landlines — eliminating the younger demographic that is more likely to vote for Bredesen.

I doubt it accounts for the eleven… fourteen… fifteen… point swing in polls, though.

North Dakota:  Chuck Hagel is swinging by to save Heidi Heitkamp’s campaign.  Last resort of a desperate Democrat in the rural prairies… in 2012, Bill Clinton swung in in Obama’s stead to pump Heitkamp up.  This year… we’re moving on to the former Republican Senator of Nebraska.

Mississippi.  So

One interesting snippet from the polling, though: While Hyde-Smith is beating Espy in head-to-head polls, Espy is beating McDaniel in head-to-head polling. Marist showed the Democrat up as much as 8 points on Republican McDaniel. If the election goes to a McDaniel-Espy runoff, there’s still an off chance that Mississippi could surprise us all.

Lars Larson has endorsed McDaniel.  So we’re off to the races?

Nevada.  Or… Californevada.

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